The Church of Betting

"Thinking, Fast and Slow": Lessons for Punters - Extreme Events (Part 2)

“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Extreme Events (Part 2)

I hope you have enjoyed the first part of the series “Thinking, Fast and Slow: Lessons for Punters” in which I covered the issue of overconfidence and how to deal ...
Read More
Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

As promised in my last article, I will do a short mid-season review of some home and away betting strategies I have discovered at the beginning of this season in ...
Read More
Does Away Value Persist?

Does Away Value Persist?

You have probably already read my analysis on the topic ‘Does Home Value Persist’. In it I have found out that for 6 top European leagues on average if backing ...
Read More
Goal Stats: Goals In The Ending Rounds

Goal Stats: Goals In The Ending Rounds

With my last article I introduced the concept of Goal Rating Models. I showed you that a very simplistic rating model won't guarantee you profit. However, tweeking and adjusting your ...
Read More