Betting Strategies

Backing the Draw in Close Games: Still Profitable?
Old followers of my blog would be familiar with an article I’ve released back in 2017 about the profitability of backing the draw in close games in the Premier League ...
Read More
Read More

Betting Automation
Let the bot play the music. Photo by Franck V Why do you need betting automation? Well, sharp betting is hard work. In order to beat the bookies, one needs ...
Read More
Read More

“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Successful Punter’s Habits (Part 4)
And here comes the fourth and last article of the series “Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters (Part 1, Part 2, Part 3). Today we are going to dive ...
Read More
Read More

“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Extreme Events (Part 2)
I hope you have enjoyed the first part of the series “Thinking, Fast and Slow: Lessons for Punters” in which I covered the issue of overconfidence and how to deal ...
Read More
Read More

“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Beating Overconfidence (Part 1)
Recently I have finished reading Daniel Kahneman’s bestseller “Thinking, Fast and Slow” – a book dealing with our common biases and thought flaws that we all as humans are guilty ...
Read More
Read More

Premier League Draws
Value Betting Strategies - it has been a while since I have last written about the favourite topic of so many of you. It is not because I have lost ...
Read More
Read More

League of Betting Legends
My previous article dealing with the favourite-longshot bias got a very interesting comment from a reader, who shared some alternative rules to quantify the bias. I recommend everyone interested in ...
Read More
Read More

The Favourite-Longshot Bias
It has been a long time since I have last posted so I apologize to anyone who was looking for new material only to leave the page disappointed. I have ...
Read More
Read More

Get Started With Arbitrage Betting
I figured out it has been long since I have last written about Arbitrage Betting and I wanted to correct that. I have already written a lengthy article introducing you ...
Read More
Read More

Home Value in Football
This weekend is lacking serious action in the major football leagues due to the upcoming World Cup qualifiers during the week (which are not exactly my cup of tea). Therefore ...
Read More
Read More