The Church of Betting

Betting Exchanges Review

Betting Exchanges are a necessary tool in the arsenal of every bettor. You would need them not only for trading but also for arbitrage to expand your variability on the sharp side and for value betting to be able to get the best odds on the market. However not all exchanges are made equal and you … Read moreBetting Exchanges Review

Odds Shopping: Betting Brokers

Odds shopping and the need for bookmaker access In this article I will write about utilizing betting brokers to make use of the best odds available on the market. I have written before about the importance of securing the best odds when pursuing any betting strategy aka Odds Shopping. This is a point very often neglected … Read moreOdds Shopping: Betting Brokers

Does Away Value Persist?

You have probably already read my analysis on the topic ‘Does Home Value Persist’. In it I have found out that for 6 top European leagues on average if backing a team at home was a profitable strategy in the previous season it will probably remain profitable in this one as well. This effect was … Read moreDoes Away Value Persist?

Device Identity And How to Protect Your Privacy From the Bookies

Today I would like to talk a bit about the topics of device identity and device fingerprinting. You have probably already read my two articles (1, 2) on precautions to be taken when arbing as to avoid getting limited by the bookmakers too fast. So you already know that bookmakers are profiling you according to … Read moreDevice Identity And How to Protect Your Privacy From the Bookies

Value Betting: Does Home Value Persist?

This weekend is lacking serious action in the major football leagues due to the upcoming World Cup qualifiers during the week (which are not exactly my cup of tea). Therefore I sat down and, after finalizing my tips for next weekend’s league games (which I needed to prepare in advance since I’m going on vacation, … Read moreValue Betting: Does Home Value Persist?

Goal Stats: How The Market Goes Against Intuition

Goal stats Today I wanted to share with you one of the interesting observations I have made when researching European goal data from the last ~20 seasons regarding goal statistics. As some of you might know, the average number of scored goals in the last rounds of the season increases dramatically for just about every … Read moreGoal Stats: How The Market Goes Against Intuition

Rating Models: Goal Ratings

So you already know that you can make a lot of money by finding an edge in the betting markets and that finding an edge in the betting markets is very hard. How does one go about it? There are several ways to approach this problem but in this article I talk about Rating Models and … Read moreRating Models: Goal Ratings

Sports Arbitrage: How to Stay Under the Radar

  How to stay under the bookie’s radar You have probably already read my introductory article to the concept of sports arbitrage. So you already know there is a risk of an arbitrage going wrong and also that bookmakers eventually close arbing accounts. In this article I want to talk a bit more on how … Read moreSports Arbitrage: How to Stay Under the Radar

Sharp and Soft Bookies – Who is Who

Sharp or Soft In my articles sometimes I talk about sharp and soft bookmakers. This is important concept in the world of gambling but it might be confusing for some novice bettors. Here I shortly explain what it is all about. The soft bookmakers are bookies that are in general bad in determining the correct … Read moreSharp and Soft Bookies – Who is Who