Value Betting: Does Home Value Persist?

This weekend is lacking serious action in the major football leagues due to the upcoming World Cup qualifiers during the week (which are not exactly my cup of tea). Therefore I sat down and, after finalizing my tips for next weekend’s league games (which I needed to prepare in advance since I’m going on vacation, … Read more

Goal Stats: How The Market Goes Against Intuition

Goal stats Today I wanted to share with you one of the interesting observations I have made when researching European goal data from the last ~20 seasons regarding goal statistics. As some of you might know, the average number of scored goals in the last rounds of the season increases dramatically for just about every … Read more

Sports Arbitrage: How to Stay Under the Radar

  How to stay under the bookie’s radar You have probably already read my introductory article to the concept of sports arbitrage. So you already know there is a risk of an arbitrage going wrong and also that bookmakers eventually close arbing accounts. In this article I want to talk a bit more on how … Read more

Sharp and Soft Bookies – Who is Who

Sharp or Soft In my articles sometimes I talk about sharp and soft bookmakers. This is important concept in the world of gambling but it might be confusing for some novice bettors. Here I shortly explain what it is all about. The soft bookmakers are bookies that are in general bad in determining the correct … Read more

Introduction to Sports Arbitrage

I will now dive in into the second betting strategy called Sports Betting Arbitrage. As you have learnt from my previous article this is also the simplest and the most low-risk one. It is known by many names – Sports Betting Arbitrage, Sports Arbitrage, “arbing” or, less commonly, Sure Bets. What is Sports Arbitrage? Sports Arbitrage … Read more

Value Betting: The Practice & Odds Shopping

This article is the second part of my previous article on Value Betting: The Theory. Check it up if you haven’t yet. At the end of the last article I promised that if you beat the overround you could, at least in theory, be a rich man. Now let’s talk about what it takes to beat … Read more

Profitable Sports Betting: The ways of the samurai

After a long break from my opening post, I would like to continue with introducing you to the different approaches to profitable sports betting and their basics. In a series of posts I will go through the three main Betting Strategies: Sports Arbitrage, Value Betting and Sports Trading, in that order. I might write an … Read more