In my last article where I’ve interviewed Erik from SoccerBetBlog on how he gets to figure out Estonian football games I promised to give you an article outlining a simple method to evaluate the performance of tipsters, based only on a few simple to obtain metrics. It is all about a statistical method called the … Read moreEvaluating Tipsters – T-test
I have since only written one article about tipsters – Cheap Tipster Tricks – trying to show you all the nonsense and deceit so common in the tipster business. I thought it is a bit unfair to focus only on the one side of the story so today I would like to introduce you one of … Read moreThe Good Tipsters
Betting Exchanges are a necessary tool in the arsenal of every bettor. You would need them not only for trading but also for arbitrage to expand your variability on the sharp side and for value betting to be able to get the best odds on the market. However not all exchanges are made equal and you … Read moreBetting Exchanges Review
Odds shopping and the need for bookmaker access In this article I will write about utilizing betting brokers to make use of the best odds available on the market. I have written before about the importance of securing the best odds when pursuing any betting strategy aka Odds Shopping. This is a point very often neglected … Read moreOdds Shopping: Betting Brokers
You have probably already read my analysis on the topic ‘Does Home Value Persist’. In it I have found out that for 6 top European leagues on average if backing a team at home was a profitable strategy in the previous season it will probably remain profitable in this one as well. This effect was … Read moreDoes Away Value Persist?
This weekend is lacking serious action in the major football leagues due to the upcoming World Cup qualifiers during the week (which are not exactly my cup of tea). Therefore I sat down and, after finalizing my tips for next weekend’s league games (which I needed to prepare in advance since I’m going on vacation, … Read moreValue Betting: Does Home Value Persist?
So you already know that you can make a lot of money by finding an edge in the betting markets and that finding an edge in the betting markets is very hard. How does one go about it? There are several ways to approach this problem but in this article I talk about Rating Models and … Read moreRating Models: Goal Ratings
This article is the second part of my previous article on Value Betting: The Theory. Check it up if you haven’t yet. At the end of the last article I promised that if you beat the overround you could, at least in theory, be a rich man. Now let’s talk about what it takes to beat … Read moreValue Betting: The Practice & Odds Shopping
In this post I will quickly introduce you to the notion of Value Betting. A short definition and explanation of the Value Betting fundamentals will help you get better understanding of the Value Betting family of betting strategies. Value Betting Fundamentals Value Betting occurs when a punter is making a bet based on identifying “value” … Read moreIntroduction to Value Betting: The Theory
I would like to continue with introducing you to the different approaches to profitable sports betting and their basics. In a series of posts I will go through the three main Betting Strategies: Sports Arbitrage, Value Betting and Sports Trading, in that order. I might write an article about bonus bagging too, which, despite being … Read moreProfitable Sports Betting: The ways of the samurai