The Church of Betting

Value Betting: Does Home Value Persist?

This weekend is lacking serious action in the major football leagues due to the upcoming World Cup qualifiers during the week (which are not exactly my cup of tea). Therefore I sat down and, after finalizing my tips for next weekend’s league games (which I needed to prepare in advance since I’m going on vacation, … Read moreValue Betting: Does Home Value Persist?

Rating Models: Goal Ratings

So you already know that you can make a lot of money by finding an edge in the betting markets and that finding an edge in the betting markets is very hard. How does one go about it? There are several ways to approach this problem but in this article I talk about Rating Models and … Read moreRating Models: Goal Ratings

Value Betting: The Practice & Odds Shopping

This article is the second part of my previous article on Value Betting: The Theory. Check it up if you haven’t yet. At the end of the last article I promised that if you beat the overround you could, at least in theory, be a rich man. Now let’s talk about what it takes to beat … Read moreValue Betting: The Practice & Odds Shopping

Introduction to Value Betting: The Theory

In this post I will quickly introduce you to the notion of Value Betting. A short definition and explanation of the Value Betting fundamentals will help you get better understanding of the Value Betting family of betting strategies. Value Betting Fundamentals Value Betting occurs when a punter is making a bet based on identifying “value” … Read moreIntroduction to Value Betting: The Theory

Profitable Sports Betting: The ways of the samurai

After a long break from my opening post, I would like to continue with introducing you to the different approaches to profitable sports betting and their basics. In a series of posts I will go through the three main Betting Strategies: Sports Arbitrage, Value Betting and Sports Trading, in that order. I might write an … Read moreProfitable Sports Betting: The ways of the samurai