The Church of Betting

League of Legends betting

League of Betting Legends

My previous article dealing with the favourite-longshot bias got a very interesting comment from a reader, who shared some alternative rules to quantify the bias. I recommend everyone interested in ...
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Statistics

Arbing without a Hedge: The Insanity of Betting Variance

The question whether it wouldn’t be better to skip hedging in Sports Arbitrage has been asked before. Covering your arb in a sharp book is a sort of an insurance ...
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Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

As promised in my last article, I will do a short mid-season review of some home and away betting strategies I have discovered at the beginning of this season in ...
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Evaluating Tipsters – T-test

Evaluating Tipsters – T-test

In my last article where I’ve interviewed Erik from SoccerBetBlog on how he gets to figure out Estonian football games I promised to give you an article outlining a simple ...
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The Good Tipsters

The Good Tipsters

I have since only written one article about tipsters – Cheap Tipster Tricks – trying to show you all the nonsense and deceit so common in the tipster business. I ...
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Betting Exchanges Review

Betting Exchanges Review

Betting Exchanges are a necessary tool in the arsenal of every bettor. You would need them not only for trading but also for arbitrage to expand your variability on the ...
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Betting Brokers

Odds Shopping: Betting Brokers

Odds shopping and the need for bookmaker access In this article I will write about utilizing betting brokers to make use of the best odds available on the market. I have ...
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Does Away Value Persist?

Does Away Value Persist?

You have probably already read my analysis on the topic ‘Does Home Value Persist’. In it I have found out that for 6 top European leagues on average if backing ...
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Home Value in Football

Home Value in Football

This weekend is lacking serious action in the major football leagues due to the upcoming World Cup qualifiers during the week (which are not exactly my cup of tea). Therefore ...
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Rating Models: Goal Ratings

Rating Models: Goal Ratings

If you have read my article on Profitable Sports Betting strategies, you already know that you can make a lot of money by finding an edge in the betting markets ...
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