It has been a long time since I have last posted so I apologize to anyone who was looking for new material only to leave the page disappointed. I have recently started a new job, which has lowered the amount of time I can dedicate to my blog. Adding to the fact that I still try to bet … Read moreThe Favourite-Longshot Bias
A few days ago I read a post by Cassini from green-all-over about the decreasing bookmaker overrounds in recent years. I remember noticing the same trend some time ago and since I think this is an interesting topic for most punters I decided to do a detailed article about it. So today I will give … Read moreOverround Decay
As promised in my last article, I will do a short mid-season review of some home and away betting strategies I have discovered at the beginning of this season in European football leagues. If you recall my two articles on home and away value, I have found out that for the Spanish, Italian and German leagues, … Read moreHome and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)
In my last article where I’ve interviewed Erik from SoccerBetBlog on how he gets to figure out Estonian football games I promised to give you an article outlining a simple method to evaluate the performance of tipsters, based only on a few simple to obtain metrics. It is all about a statistical method called the … Read moreEvaluating Tipsters – T-test
This article is on the topic of sports arbitrage and specifically arb alert services. You can read more on the concept of sports arbitrage and how to make bookies your personal cash cows here: 1, 2, 3. Bookie Clones Today I wanted to cover a problem for arbers that I have encountered many times during the … Read moreBookie Clones: Why Some Bookies Share The Same Odds?
Betting Exchanges are a necessary tool in the arsenal of every bettor. You would need them not only for trading but also for arbitrage to expand your variability on the sharp side and for value betting to be able to get the best odds on the market. However not all exchanges are made equal and you … Read moreBetting Exchanges Review
Today I would like to talk a bit about the topics of device identity and device fingerprinting. You have probably already read my two articles (1, 2) on precautions to be taken when arbing as to avoid getting limited by the bookmakers too fast. So you already know that bookmakers are profiling you according to … Read moreDevice Identity And How to Protect Your Privacy From the Bookies
Goal stats Today I wanted to share with you one of the interesting observations I have made when researching European goal data from the last ~20 seasons regarding goal statistics. As some of you might know, the average number of scored goals in the last rounds of the season increases dramatically for just about every … Read moreGoal Stats: How The Market Goes Against Intuition
Sharp or Soft In my articles sometimes I talk about sharp and soft bookmakers. This is important concept in the world of gambling but it might be confusing for some novice bettors. Here I shortly explain what it is all about. The soft bookmakers are bookies that are in general bad in determining the correct … Read moreSharp and Soft Bookies – Who is Who
I would like to continue with introducing you to the different approaches to profitable sports betting and their basics. In a series of posts I will go through the three main Betting Strategies: Sports Arbitrage, Value Betting and Sports Trading, in that order. I might write an article about bonus bagging too, which, despite being … Read moreProfitable Sports Betting: The ways of the samurai
