The Church of Betting

Staking and the St. Petersburg Paradox

Staking and the St. Petersburg Paradox

"In the long run we’re all dead" John Maynard Keynes I have previously written about the Closing Line Value, the benefits of taking positive expected value (EV+) bets and how ...
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The Power of the Closing Line

The Power of the Closing Line

During the last few months, the gambling Twitter has witnessed a heated (and still ongoing) controversy. The subject of this controversy is the mythical Closing Line and its importance in ...
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"Thinking, Fast and Slow": Lessons for Punters - Extreme Events (Part 2)

“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Extreme Events (Part 2)

I hope you have enjoyed the first part of the series “Thinking, Fast and Slow: Lessons for Punters” in which I covered the issue of overconfidence and how to deal ...
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“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Beating Overconfidence (Part 1)

“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Beating Overconfidence (Part 1)

Recently I have finished reading Daniel Kahneman’s bestseller “Thinking, Fast and Slow” – a book dealing with our common biases and thought flaws that we all as humans are guilty ...
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BetSuite Pro Review

BetSuite Pro Review

My last article - Premier League Draws - got quite some hits by this blog’s standard - mostly because it got the interest of David Sumpter, the author of the ...
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Premier League Draws

Premier League Draws

Value Betting Strategies - it has been a while since I have last written about the favourite topic of so many of you. It is not because I have lost ...
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The Favourite-Longshot Bias

The Favourite-Longshot Bias

It has been a long time since I have last posted so I apologize to anyone who was looking for new material only to leave the page disappointed. I have ...
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Overround Decay

Overround Decay

A few days ago I read a post by Cassini from green-all-over about the decreasing bookmaker overrounds in recent years. I remember noticing the same trend some time ago and ...
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Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

As promised in my last article, I will do a short mid-season review of some home and away betting strategies I have discovered at the beginning of this season in ...
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Does Away Value Persist?

Does Away Value Persist?

You have probably already read my analysis on the topic ‘Does Home Value Persist’. In it I have found out that for 6 top European leagues on average if backing ...
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