The Church of Betting

League of Legends betting

League of Betting Legends

My previous article dealing with the favourite-longshot bias got a very interesting comment from a reader, who shared some alternative rules to quantify the bias. I recommend everyone interested in ...
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Trademate Sports Review

Trademate Sports Review

I am sure some of you remember that a long time ago I promised you a review of a betting product known as Trademate Sports. Trademate Sports is a Technical Value Betting ...
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Statistics

Arbing without a Hedge: The Insanity of Betting Variance

The question whether it wouldn’t be better to skip hedging in Sports Arbitrage has been asked before. Covering your arb in a sharp book is a sort of an insurance ...
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Maximising Profits – How to Improve Your Turnover

Maximising Profits – How to Improve Your Turnover

So you are already up and running. You got familiar with the main risks and pitfalls and even managed to score a few profitable arbs without getting limited (yet). It ...
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Getting Started with Sports Arbitrage

Get Started With Arbitrage Betting

I figured out it has been long since I have last written about Arbitrage Betting and I wanted to correct that. I have already written a lengthy article introducing you ...
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Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

Home and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)

As promised in my last article, I will do a short mid-season review of some home and away betting strategies I have discovered at the beginning of this season in ...
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Arbitrage betting: Middles

Arbitrage betting: Middles

I had many of my accounts restricted due to arbitrage betting during the years. Luckily, I have found out a live betting strategy to utilize those restricted accounts to the ...
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Does Away Value Persist?

Does Away Value Persist?

You have probably already read my analysis on the topic ‘Does Home Value Persist’. In it I have found out that for 6 top European leagues on average if backing ...
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Home Value in Football

Home Value in Football

This weekend is lacking serious action in the major football leagues due to the upcoming World Cup qualifiers during the week (which are not exactly my cup of tea). Therefore ...
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Goal Stats: Goals In The Ending Rounds

Goal Stats: Goals In The Ending Rounds

With my last article I introduced the concept of Goal Rating Models. I showed you that a very simplistic rating model won't guarantee you profit. However, tweeking and adjusting your ...
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