And here comes the fourth and last article of the series “Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters (Part 1, Part 2, Part 3). Today we are going to dive into the successful punter’s habits. It has surely taken a while to get it all out, so my apologies go to anyone who was wishing … Read more“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Successful Punter’s Habits (Part 4)
Recently I have finished reading Daniel Kahneman’s bestseller “Thinking, Fast and Slow” – a book dealing with our common biases and thought flaws that we all as humans are guilty of. Overconfidence, risk-aversion, manipulative framing – you will find it all here. You have certainly come across the title already if you frequent some of … Read more“Thinking, Fast and Slow”: Lessons for Punters – Beating Overconfidence (Part 1)
Value Betting Strategies – it has been a while since I have last written about the favourite topic of so many of you. It is not because I have lost interest in it – I continue to put small stakes on some of the strategies shared by Cassini in his Green-All-Over blog and occasionally test … Read morePremier League Draws
My previous article dealing with the favourite-longshot bias got a very interesting comment from a reader, who shared some alternative rules to quantify the bias. I recommend everyone interested in the topic to give them a look. They are certainly worth a further analysis and a comprehensive comparison with the rule explained in the article, however … Read moreLeague of Betting Legends
I am sure some of you remember that a long time ago I promised you a review of a betting product known as Trademate. The Trademate team has given me access to the product and I have been tirelessly gathering tones of betting data ever since. Having collected a record of more than 11,500 resolved bets I decided … Read moreReview of Trademate (revised)
The question whether it wouldn’t be better to skip hedging in Sports Arbitrage has been asked before. Covering your arb in a sharp book is a sort of an insurance premium. You sacrifice the money you are going to lose in the sharp books in order to have a stable and predictable profit from each … Read moreArbing without a Hedge: The Insanity of Betting Variance
Maximising Profits in Sports Arbitrage So you are already up and running. You got familiar with the main risks and pitfalls and even managed to score a few profitable arbs without getting limited (yet). It is time to think about maximising profits with the capital you have available. Your arbing profit is in reality your employed … Read moreMaximising Profits – How to Improve Your Turnover
I figured out it has been long since I have last written about Sports Arbitrage and I wanted to correct that. This week I want to give you some information on getting started with Sports Arbitrage and what are the tools you are going to need. The article will link back to some of my … Read moreSports Arbitrage: Getting Started
As promised in my last article, I will do a short mid-season review of some home and away betting strategies I have discovered at the beginning of this season in European football leagues. If you recall my two articles on home and away value, I have found out that for the Spanish, Italian and German leagues, … Read moreHome and Away Value in European Leagues (Mid-Season Review)
I had many of my accounts restricted due to arbitrage betting during the years. Luckily, I have found out a live betting strategy to utilize those restricted accounts to the maximum and made some extra money out of them even after being restricted to 10-15 EUR profit per bet. A low risk-strategy (perhaps comparable to … Read moreArbitrage betting: Middles
